Good prospects, good news
Not sure how many of you have ESPN Insider packages, but Keith Law released his Top 100 prospects list, which for the time being is offered as part of a "free preview." I'd try to read fast. Positive results for the Blue, who placed five in the top 100, tied for third with the Red Sox, and behind Texas (six) and Tampa Bay (nine, but somehow they'll still suck in five years).
For L.A., it reads thusly: Clayton Kershaw (6), Andy Laroche (25), Chin-Lung Hu (50), James MacDonald (52), and Chris Withrow (86). The Blue still have some quality left off the list, too, in Scott Elbert (fingers crossed for good health), Jon Meloan, Blake DeWitt, Greg Miller (fingers crossed for good health and good control). That's some cheery news for Thursday afternoon, I'd say.
Click below for Law's evaulations.
BK
6 Clayton Kershaw LHP Los Angeles Dodgers TOP '07 LEVEL: AA (Jacksonville)
Kershaw has about as good an arm as you're likely to see on a young left-hander. His arm works extremely well, with little effort and quick movement through his delivery. His stuff is outstanding, a plus-plus fastball at 93-96 with good downhill plane and a two-plane hammer curve in the mid-70s that must cause left-handed hitters to strain their obliques as they try to hold up. He has a changeup with good fading action, but doesn't sell it well enough and right-handers can sit on it a little bit, although he can improve that with experience. The Dodgers promoted fellow pitching prospect Scott Elbert aggressively and worked him hard in 2006, and he responded with a shoulder injury that required surgery in May. They worked Kershaw less hard -- he faced 93 fewer hitters than Elbert did -- but still pushed him to AA before he was ready, and 19-20-year-old pitchers do get hurt. That's the only thing likely to stop him from becoming a top-of-the-rotation starter.
25 Andy LaRoche 3B Los Angeles Dodgers TOP '07 LEVEL: Majors
Big league teams can do funny things. The Dodgers liked LaRoche enough to give him a seven-figure bonus after taking him as a summer follow in the 39th round in 2003. They moved him up aggressively, gave him a shot at the big league job and decided a month later that he couldn't hit, instead accepting mediocre production from known quantities until they started to fall out of the playoff race in September. Now, after several abortive attempts to acquire a third baseman, the Dodgers are going to give LaRoche a chance to "win" the job over Nomar Garciaparra (who can't field a lick at third and isn't much with the bat) in spring training. Here's the scoop: LaRoche can, in fact, hit, and he'll hit for average with excellent on-base percentages, with middle-of-the-road power. He can play third, but doesn't project as a plus glove. He should be handed the everyday job right now.
50 Hu Chin-Lung SS Los Angeles Dodgers TOP '07 LEVEL: Majors
Hu has an incredible combination of defensive ability and instincts that should net him a long career in the majors. His ceiling is entirely determined by how much he hits, and the jury on that one is still out. He has good bat speed and excellent bat control, putting the ball in play and trying to pepper the outfield with line drives. He needs to show this year that he can turn on some hard stuff inside. He never is going to hit for power, and his OBPs always will be driven by batting average. In the field, Hu is a wizard and a future fan favorite. He has plus range in both directions and a strong, accurate arm. But best of all is his natural feel for the game and constant awareness of game situations. If he keeps getting stronger, he should be an All-Star shortstop at the big league level who competes for Gold Gloves.
52 James McDonald RHP Los Angeles Dodgers TOP '07 LEVEL: AA (Jacksonville)
McDonald signed as a pitcher as a draft-and-follow prospect, hurt his arm, moved to the outfield, hurt his coaches by not hitting a lick and moved back to the mound, where he's hurt opposing hitters by racking up K's like there might be a run on the strikeout banks. McDonald is Clay Buchholz Lite: average fastball or slightly below, above-average curve and changeup, good control and feel for pitching. His curve gets swings and misses in the minors, but it's a bit of a slow roller and he'll have to use it more sparingly in the big leagues unless he can tighten its rotation.
86 Chris Withrow RHP Los Angeles Dodgers TOP '07 LEVEL: Rookie (GCL Dodgers)
Keep an eye on this one. Withrow pitched all spring with an average fastball (88-91 mph) and a fringe-average curve with good depth but an early break, but his velocity rose after his move to pro ball. He has some projection left and has a great delivery with a quick, explosive move toward the plate. And after the success of Chad Billingsley and Clayton Kershaw to date, the Dodgers get a little extra credit on first-round arms.

Wow, I didn't realize Hu had that much potential.
Posted by: David | January 31, 2008 at 02:52 PM
David-
There's some debate as to how much he'll hit, but dude is sliiiiiiiiiiiiick with the leather.
BK
Posted by: Brian Kamenetzky | January 31, 2008 at 03:29 PM
I wrote in the previous thread that if Eric Bedard was as good as advertised I would consider trading LaRoche, Hu, Elbert and McDonald for him if the deal with Seattle fell through. I even said that a deal that included Ethier (minus one or two of the above) is one that I would also consider. But "consider" is the key word here, especially since I've never seen Bedard, Elbert and McDonald, very little of Hu, and a bit more of LaRoche.
But let me add. If the Dodgers stand pat with what they have now, I would not be disappointed. Bedard is signed through 2009, and would likely command a lucrative extension. I would not be disappointed to see the Dodgers stand pat with what they have now, and count on one of McDonald, Elbert, Miller, etc. being able to crack the Dodger staff sometime this season. Perhaps even Loaiza or Schmidt will turn out OK. As for Kershaw, I think it's too early, and would prefer he get a full year of AA and/or AAA under his belt, with maybe a late season or September call-up.
Posted by: Brooklyn Dodger | January 31, 2008 at 05:25 PM