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Report Cards: Pitchers

Report2 BK already passed judgment on the position players.  Now it's my turn to criticize athletes pulling off feats I couldn't accomplish in my wildest dreams.  Okay, not exactly.  The part about me not being a good pitcher is true (for those who care, I was actually a pretty good catcher until knee and roster issues forced a disastrous switch to the outfield), but I didn't spend much time bagging on the hurlers.  And why would I, since arms provided the team's greatest strength over the course of 2008?  With few exceptions, nobody who took the hill on a regular basis did much to hurt the Blue.  Thus, the majority have report cards worthy of fridge space.  Or at least good enough to avoid winter school.  Not "summer" school, because baseball takes place in the summer.  Get it?  Get it?

I'll be here all week.  The 9:30 show is completely different from the 8:00.  Try the veal...

Derek Lowe: After a tough May, Lowe steadily continued a recent trend of getting better as the season progressed.   A 3.65 August ERA could have been in the 2's were it not for one wretched game against St. Louis and he was barely touched by a September bat.  Terrific in an NLDS series opener, the Philly followup wasn't quite as lights out, but give props for a gritty short rest Game 4 likely to be debated all offseason (I still think Joe Torre made the right call pulling him).  Even at 35, he appears firmly on Father Time's good side.  Unfortunately, word persists the free agent is set on moving east, which would be a blow for the Dodgers.  In part because they could use him, and in part because after spending his early time in Blue often coming off like a talented flake, Lowe, in my observations, matured into a considerably more accountable clubhouse leader.  Kinda sucks to see that transformation happen with one foot out the door.  Final grade: A

Chad Billingsley: Dude went out on one Lulu of a train wreck, the two starts against Philly not only abysmal, they didn't even combine as enough innings for a "quality" start, good or bad.  But that doesn't negate Bills' 2008 as the Dodgers' best pitcher. His sixteen wins (7th-NL) were the Blue tops, just like his K total (201, 5th-NL) and a 3.14 ERA among Blue starters.  Viewed as an ace in the making since his rookie season and this season, he made good on those hopes in his first full season as a starter.  Fans have worried about his psyche after such an awful NLCS (and the blame game he played), but I suspect he'll be fine with the slate cleaned.  Even if he's not, that only affects next season's eval.  For the time being, he grades out pretty well.  Final Grade: A-

Hiroki Kuroda: I don't know how popular "Forrest Gump" was in Japan, but Hiroki Kuroda's inaugural season often reflected the title's character's view on chocolate boxes: You never know what you're going to get.  Between a 9-10 record that didn't jive with a solid 3.73 ERA and a penchant for following brilliance with stinkers, predicting a Kuroda result was like trying to guess "The Chinese Democracy's" release date.  Your guess is as good as Axl's.  But all in all, Kuroda performed well and came through when it mattered the most, racking two solid playoff starts and becoming a local icon after buzzing Shane Victorino.  With a year of adjustment to the MLB rigors out of the way, Kuroda appears both a quality addition to the rotation and one of Ned Colletti's few free agent acquisitions that should elicit no complaints: Final Grade: B+

Brad Penny:
If you're a believer in "the butterfly effect" (the concept, not the crap Ashton Kucher flick), the NLCS Game 4 collapse falls on Penny's shoulders.  After all, he put contract status limbo ahead of the Dodgers' well being by pitching ineffectively with a bum shoulder.  Once a shutdown couldn't be avoided, there wasn't enough time to heal, leading to a shortened rotation, Derek Lowe pitching on short rest, Joe Torre cautiously pulling him for Clayton Kershaw, etc.  That cause/effect view might be a bit extreme, but the fact remains that Penny made a selfish decision which may have torched both his market value (irony alert!) and, after a poor reaction to pen duty, his relationship with the team.  I'm fairly certain the righty will get bought out for two mil and a handshake.  It's no fun seeing the twice Blue All-Star go out on such a crummy note (6-9, a honking 6.82 ERA, only two wins after April), but in many ways, he brought it on himself.  Final Grade: D-

Clayton Kershaw:
Oodles of potential, not to mention a fair amount of tangible results. Three of the kid's five wins came during a 3-0 September, with all major stats improving and success achieved in a particularly crucial outing.  The expected bumps and bruises surfaced (including an "ouch" sixth inning during the NLCS Game 4), but more often than not, the Claw didn't come off like a wide-eyed 20-year old rook.  That valuable experience now pocketed, optimism brews over his impending first full big league campaign.  Final Grade: B

Greg Maddux:
Reunited and it feels so... average.  "Maddux in Blue: Part Deux" didn't coax 2006's spark, with age and bats catching up with the H.O.F. lock's pitches.  Largely "meh" as a last minute rental, Joe Torre ended up excluding him from the playoff rotation he was theoretically brought in to enhance.  But the classy rep that's followed Maddux's entire career was shown by his lack of pout upon his pen banishment.  The gig didn't match his stature, but he took it like a pro, setting an example as always.  Final Grade: C

Jonathon Broxton:
Evaluating Broxton's success as a closer could be a matter of perspective.  Upon taking over for an injured Takashi Saito in mid-July, Brox converted the majority of his save attempts and just missed tying a career-best ERA.  But between a bumpy August (three losses, two blown rescues) and success often requiring a roller coaster ride (his walk total went up from last year despite a drop in frames), it's no surprise "Does Big Jon have a closer's mentality?" articles frequently popped up in the papers.  When he's in the zone, good luck chasing his smoke.  But as an ill-fated toss to Matt Stairs demonstrated, relying too much on "fast" can be a problem.  Final Grade: B

Takashi Saito: As the Broxton report card hints, the Dodgers got by without Sammy, but that doesn't mean he wasn't missed.  He may be missed next season, too, since it's unclear if the 39-year old will be back next season.  Injury curtailing the second half of perhaps the final campaign for an important and popular Dodger would be a bummer, but sometimes that's how the fist pumps.  Final Grade: B+/Inc.

Joe Beimel: On paper,a 5-1 record and 2.02 ERA look like another stellar season. In reality, that clip is mostly due to a strong first half.  Beimel surrendered seven earned runs over fourteen July/August innings, allowed many an inherited runner to score and bumped his 2007 walk total despite a decrease in frames.  In my opinion, the innings drop may have accounted for the production following suit.  Joe Torre often shifted Beimel's role from "seventh inning mainstay" to "one batter-and-out lefty," a transition I think Beimel never adjusted to, and was often a waste of his services.  Troy from West Virginia's obsession is a free agent and I get the sense he'd like to return.  If so, maybe he and Skip can iron out a job description closer to his first two seasons in L.A.  Final grade: C+

Cory Wade: Kid went from Jacksonville mop up call up to Joe Torre's trustiest middle relief horse.  At times- like, say, the NLCS Game 4- it felt like Torre might be riding him too often, reminiscent of his arm-shredding reliance on Scott Proctor in New York.  But given the unflappable attitude, 2.27 ERA and scant 0.93 WHIP, it's easy to understand why Torre typically tapped his right arm while heading to the mound in the seventh or eighth.  Wade's spot on the roster will surprise nobody in 2009.  Hopefully, the same ultra-consistent results will follow.  A debate could be waged whether Wade or Blake DeWitt provided the season's biggest surprise, but as I harped on during many occasions, nobody was a bigger unsung hero. Final Grade: A-

Hong-Chih Kuo: In an effort to preserve the lefty's heath, BK vowed to stop talking up the Taiwanese Tornado.  Nice work, brother.  While Kuo didn't spend his entire 2008 in the pink, he did manage a career-high 41 games.  An absolutely killer campaign came down to Earth a bit after the All-Star break, but he still found consistent success regardless of which side of the plate his opponent stood.  As always, his stuff is never in question.  It's about being able to play.  Final grade: B+

Chan Ho Park: What began as the biggest resurfacing since Elvis sightings were the rage eventually evolved into the lowly expectations upon a return from the scrap heap.  After notching a 2.63 ERA before the All-Star break, Park more than doubled it during  August and September, 24.2 innings that produced 17 earned runs and countless cringes each time his number was called.  Great story while it lasted, but Park's a free agent, and I don't expect the Blue gambling on a third time charm. Final Grade: C

Scott Proctor: He wasn't flat out awful upon returning in September from a two month D.L. stint, but he was hardly great and didn't make the playoff roster.  Hopefully, the offseason will strengthen his arm- and if not, he'll maybe be more honest about it- allowing him to come off like more than a "poor man's Cory Wade."  Final Grade: D

Jason Johnson: One terrific comeback start and a whole bunch of nadaFinal grade: D- 

Ramon Troncoso: A decent enough rookie season and a fairly good August, but nothing to necessarily email home about.  Final Grade: C

Thanks for playing: James McDonald (can't wait to see him as a starter), Brian Falkenborg, Eric Stults, Estaban!!!, Tanyon Sturze.

AK

Comments
Vincent

Wade's WHIP is 0.93, not 0.093.

David s

I agree about Penny and think he should get the 'Dope of the Year' award. He nearly sunk the team and probably just sunk his own career. As for Maddux, Since I am not in the dugout to see what a great team mate he is, I have to rate him only on his on field performance so I would say D-.
David

Andrew Kamenetzky

Vincent,

Thanks for the pick up. Obviously, a typo. .O93 is would truly be a special WHIP.

AK

hugo

I like/agree on most of your analysis. good job

John

I think your sense with Beimel is maybe a little off. I could be wrong but I doubt it.

Brooklyn Dodger

AK,

No pickup to be thankful for. You have .93, which is the same as 0.93.

Benzo Jones

Playoffs! Who said anything about the Playoffs!

Maddux sucked, he deserved a D.

Ho shoulda been a B... without him we don't get as far as we did.

Rufus Leaking

Broxton: /fail

Steve Wimer

McDonald rates no coverage?

poppinfresh

AK/BK we need a grade for kurodamania.com... it seems our fellow blogger's site was a good investment after all.

I agree with the pitching grades you guys have assessed, but i still think Penny should be resigned especially if Lowe bolts. 9 million is cheaper than any 3rd or 4th line starter on the open market and has shown he can be a great pitcher (when healthy and svelte). If he stinks, 9 million and 1 year is still cheaper than committing to a FA at 3 years and 35-45 million. I remember a few years back when we got him from Florida and his bicept tedonitis was rampant and he couldn't pitch, a lot of people thought we got a bad pitcher in that deal. He came out the next 2 years and was really good for us. I think he deserves the option picked up because if he can come back and kick some serious ass it is a bargain with little risk from McCourt. If he returns to form, give him an extension, if he still is stinking, release him.

Andrew Kamenetzky

Steve Wimer,

Ultimately, I thought McDonald's sample size wasn't big enough for a grade. But the little we did we was undoubtedly promising. As I noted, I'm very excited to hopefully see him in the rotation next year.

AK

Andrew Kamenetzky

Benzo Jones,

"Maddux sucked, he deserved a D. Ho shoulda been a B... without him we don't get as far as we did."

I was grading Maddux in part against my expectations, which were low. He mostly struck me as more so-so than flat out awful (although judging by yours and a few comments, I think I was wrong. haha). As for Park, I agree he played a big role in early success, but his last two months were brutal. His ERA was almost 7 and I got nervous every time he pitched. Basically, I considered him around a B+/A- before the All-Star break and around a D afterward. Rounds out to a C.

AK

Andrew Kamenetzky

Poppinfresh,

Does Kurodamania.com really need a formal grade? It's obviously an A.

AK

mark

I'VE BEEN AN AVID AND DEDICATED FAN OF GREG
MADDUX SINCE PRE-ATLANTA. AND I'LL BE THE FIRST
TO ADMIT WITH GREG THAT THIS WAS HIS WORST
YEAR OF HIS ILLUSTRIOUS CAREER.... AGE, LESS
MOVEMENT ON THE BALL, BAD LUCK,AND TERRIBLE
RUN SUPPORT FROM THE PADRES AND DODGERS...
HOW MANY CRITICIZERS REALIZE HE STARTED 10
DODGER GAMES AT THE END OF THE SEASON...THE
DODGERS LOST 7 OF THE 10 !!!! PART IS BLAME ...
BUT HE GOT 9 RUNS IN THOSE 7 STARTS... IT TAKES
A SHUTOUT TO OVERCOME THAT ! AND IN ONE OF HIS
WINS AGAINST FRISCO HE WON 2-1 ....GOOD THING
HE ONLY GAVE UP 1 RUN ..... LOOK AT THE WHOLE
PICTURE .........

SaMo

Grading is too kind to Kershaw, who showed flashes of brilliance, but never truly dominated good hitters.

Too harsh on Saito, who was his usual excellent self until he got hurt. He only had the one bad outing in the playoffs, and that's from coming back too soon.

Broxton definitely doesn't have what it takes to be a closer, so that needs to be a priority for the Dodgers. I don't know if they have somebody in house or if they need to go out and get somebody. Wade has a closer's mentality, if not stufee. But I could see him being a Trevor Hofffman style closer, especially if preceded by some combination of Kuo and Broxton. Kind of a good cop bad cop routine. Stun t hem with speed, then kill them with slow stuff.

What Penny did was stupid and hurtful to his own cause. but at $7 million (the difference between picking up his $9 mil option and the $2 mil buyout), he's a good deal. So why not try him for one more year. If he's healthy (always a big if) he's a good # 2 starter.

But the biggest pitching concern, and perhaps a bigger concern even than Manny, is finding a true #1 starter, something the team has lacked for the past five years. Billz is still being groomed for that role, but he's at least a year away. Having a CC Sabathia at the front of your rotation, followed by Billz, Penny, Kuroda, Kershaw, and some combination of Schmidt/McDonald/Stults/Elbert/whoever is truly formidable.

Rob

AK,
Of course Kurodamania neeeds to be graded... it is not an obvious A?! Remember who the owner of the site is? Benzo... and Benzo starts w/ a B... and he gives out Roman grades... so in all fairness... it is an A but by no means "obvious".

Is Penny really being opted out at $2 million? Is that reliable? Did Ned say so?.. or McCourt? I kinda have to agree w/ Poppinfresh in that it would seem like throwing away a potential gem... if anything, can't the Dodgers sign and get something for him from another team that really needs pitching??... maybe Yankees?? I think there might be a team out there that might give up something for Penny at $9 million for 1 year. Is my thought process out of the realm of reality?

benzo jones

AK - fair enough on Ho.

But for public record the kurodamania.com, domain didn't make me a dime, however I am thinking of selling Harajuka Girl merchandise on there, and Hello Kitty stuff too.

Matt

Lovin' the PCU reference.

poppinfresh

Benzo, put up the photoshop contest picture of the beard and hello kitty in dreadlocks and i am sure the $$ will come rolling in!

uclart47

You should include a grade for Torre in how he used each pitcher, especially the bullpen. You touched on it with Beimel but other pitchers' performances were also affected by Torre clingling to an AL mindset.

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Andrew and Brian Kamenetzky
Andrew (right) and Brian Kamenetzky are hosts of the LA Times Lakers Blog, and contributing writers to ESPN The Magazine and ESPN.com. Additionally, they co-authored Fishing on the Edge, the autobiography of Mike Iaconelli, the bad boy of bass fishing and 2003 Bassmaster Classic champion. They grew up in St. Louis as Cardinals fans, but it doesn't impair their ability to Think Blue. After all, the Cards and Dodgers aren't even in the same division.

Email: kambrothers@yahoo.com

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