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Baseball Prospectus on the Dodgers' top 11 prospects

Why not 10?  Because these go to 11.  Just sayin'.   

Here's the full list, from BP's Kevin Goldstein

Four-star prospects
1. Ethan Martin, RHP
2. Ivan De Jesus Jr., SS/2B
3. James McDonald, RHP
4. Scott Elbert, LHP
5. Andrew Lambo, LF
Three-star prospects
6. Josh Lindblom, RHP
7. Devaris Gordon, SS
8. Josh Bell, 3B
Two-star prospects
9. Pedro Baez, 3B
10. Kyle Russell, RF
11. Xavier Paul, CF

Just missed: Tony Delmonico, 2B; Steve Johnson, RHP; Chris Withrow, RHP

Ranking challenges: While the Dodgers lack a truly elite prospect, the first five on this list are all worthy of Top 100 consideration, and could be moved around liberally without too much argument. The system drops off considerably from there, though their group of toolsy left-side infielders do provide plenty of ceiling.

Never have I been described as "toolsy" with "plenty of ceiling."  A tool, yes, but not toolsy. 

Anyway, I can't cut and paste the whole thing -- these people are trying to earn a living, you know -- but here's a line about each player from Goldstein's writeup (there's much more available for subscribers ... so subscribe!):

Martin: "Has everything one looks for in a young pitching prospect. He has smooth mechanics, and effortlessly pitches at 92-94 mph while touching 96, and many believe there is projection for much more. Unlike most teenagers, he already has solid secondary offerings, with a hard-breaking power curve and a surprisingly deceptive change. He's a fantastic athlete with a strong durable build, and scouts rave about his makeup."

DeJesus: "Understands his offensive abilities, and focuses on what he does well: working the count, lacing line drives to all fields, and occasionally driving one into the gap. He has fantastic defensive instincts, with plus range to both sides, and a solid arm. His basic baseball intelligence raises every aspect of his game ... not especially big or toolsy. He has slightly above-average speed, but there is some concern that he'll play his way off of shortstop if he loses a step or two, which would downgrade his projection dramatically."

McDonald: "He was so good in the bullpen that maybe he should just stay there; he provides a real change of pace when he replaces a power arm."

Elbert: "Elbert's mechanics still have a lot of moving parts, and he has trouble staying in sync and in the strike zone. He never really developed much of a changeup before being hurt, and almost never threw one in 2008, leaving most to think his move to the pen is permanent, though the Dodgers refuse to say so."

Lambo: "The best pure hitter in the Dodgers system, with a beautiful swing and a combination of bat speed and raw strength that projects for at least average power down the road, and possibly more. He showed improved plate discipline throughout the year, and despite it being his full-season debut, he did not seem at all overmatched against far more advanced players."

Lindblom: "A middling college starter who took a giant step forward as a reliever, Lindblom worked his way into the second round and had a sizzling pro debut.... There's some talk within the organization about trying Lindblom as a starter again, but most feel that if it's not broke, don't fix it, and pitching out of the bullpen is what he has done well."

Gordon: "Packs a ton of talent into a small frame.... No player in the system has a greater distance between what he is and his potential. He's far too messy defensively to stay in the infield, and will need to find some secondary offensive skills if he moves to the outfield."

Bell: "Prototypical big-bat third baseman with well-above-average raw power from both sides of the plate. He made solid strides last year in developing a more patient approach, and he also improved his defensive fundamentals, which are supplemented by an outstanding arm."

Baez: "Has two tools that are better than those of anyone else in the system. First, he has incredible raw power, and puts on a show-stopping batting practice. Second, he has an absolute cannon for an arm that some scouts rate as a pure 80 on the 20-80 scouting scale.
... He's behind Bell for now on the organizational depth chart, and in terms of development as well. These are two high-risk prospects, so the chances of them both panning out are pretty slim."

Russell: "His power comes at a price. His swing is both long and hitch-heavy, and he struck out once every 2.7 at-bats while posting an utterly unsustainable BABIP of .445 in his pro debut. Some think that he'll never hit for anything close to an acceptable average down the road — it's that big of a concern."

Paul: "He has solid hitting abilities, having consistently hit for good batting averages at the upper levels while adding gap power. His speed is above average, he made great strides defensively in center field, and he has one of the better arms in the system ... is less than the sum of his parts, lacking any one tool that might enable him to project as an everyday player."

BK

Comments
TJ2

".... the Dodgers lack a truly elite prospect......."

That description of Ethan Martin makes him sound pretty elite.

Joe  the Plumber

Dodger Hot Stove Update, Pittsburgh Gazette

Jack Wilson has informed the Pirates that he is amenable to renegotiating the final two years of his contract to facilitate a trade to the Dodgers, a team source confirmed yesterday. He is due $7.25 million in 2009 and has an $8.4 million club option for the following year, with a $600,000 buyout. The Dodgers apparently would be willing to guarantee both years for a total in the range of $12 million.

Los Angeles is special to him because he is a native and resident of southern California. He and wife Julie have three young children.

The Pirates and Dodgers began a fresh round of talks Saturday, one that still focused on two prospects -- shortstop Chin-Lung Hu and outfielder Delwyn Young -- but mostly revolved around Wilson's contract.

Wilson, 30, batted .272 with one home run and 22 RBIs in 87 games, his season cut in half by a badly strained left calf that put him on the disabled list for the first time in his career.

Josh Burke

Here's mine without you asking:

1. James McDonald
2. Scott Elbert
3. Ivan DeJesus
4. Andrew Lambo
5. Josh Bell
6. Preston Mattingly
7. Chris Withrow
8. Ethan Martin
9. Russell Mitchell
10. Xavier Paul
11. Brent Leach

benzojones

I had to look twice... I thought that said Joan Baez...

Brooklyn Dodger

TJ2,

It may be that Martin wasn't considered among the "elite", because if memory serves me correct, I don't believe he played at all last year. He was drafted out of high school, and I believe, shortly thereafter had knee surgery that kept him from making his professional debut. I imagine that he must have participated in the instructional league, but I haven't heard anything about his performance there.

Martin is interesting because he was also a top hitting third base prospect. So if he ever has any are arm problems he could conceivably be returned to being an everyday player. In any case, since he was drafted this past year out of high school, he is likely several years away, no matter where he ends up playing.

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Andrew and Brian Kamenetzky
Andrew (right) and Brian Kamenetzky are hosts of the LA Times Lakers Blog, and contributing writers to ESPN The Magazine and ESPN.com. Additionally, they co-authored Fishing on the Edge, the autobiography of Mike Iaconelli, the bad boy of bass fishing and 2003 Bassmaster Classic champion. They grew up in St. Louis as Cardinals fans, but it doesn't impair their ability to Think Blue. After all, the Cards and Dodgers aren't even in the same division.

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